Expect a near-average Atlantic hurricane season this year, with 12 named storms, including six hurricanes, two of which will be intense (winds reaching Category 3 or greater strength), according to the latest forecast by Colorado State University meteorologists Philip Klotzbach and Bill Gray. They estimate that the probability of a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. is about 105% of the average for the years 1950-2000.
You can download the 31-page report as a PDF. Or, if you’d just like to determine what the report is predicting for your county, check out the the United States Landfalling Hurricane Web Project. All you have to do is select your state and county and it generates the results. (This tool has now been added to the finding and using additional hazard information section.)